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                                        Running on Empty

Required reading:

 

Chris Goodall "How to Live a Low Carbon Life"

Chris Goodall "How to Live a Low-Carbon Life"

 

Richard Heinberg "The Party's Over"

Richard Heinberg "The Party's Over"

 

George Monbiot "Heat"

George Monbiot "Heat"

 

Required watching:

 

DVD - "The Power of Community"

The Power of Community - How Cuba Survived Peak Oil - DVD

 

DVD - "The End of Suburbia"

The End of Suburbia - Oil Depletion & the Collapse of the American Dream - DVD

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The Revolution

This is a revolution. If you want to shut an airport then stop flying. Want an end to factory farming? Grow your own. An end to pollution? Change to renewables. An end to war & poverty? Microgenerate. Life for your childen? Stop needing oil. YOU have THIS Power. You do not need Government. Seize the initiative. Bring democracy to your community. Be an example to your children. Take responsibility. Change for good today.

Organise | Powerdown | Recycle | Substitute | Stay | Generate | Grow | Invest | Make | Community

Energy Security

America Consumes 25% of all Oil

     At the height of US engagement in Afghanistan and Iraq the Pentagon released a report that suggested that Global Climate Change and Resource Depletion will be a far greater threat to world peace and security that Terrorism. This idea has been echoed around the world by the great and the good. It is an essential modern truism.

     We only have to switch on the TV to see what a crazy world we live in. CNN will report on the carnage wrought by Tornadoes in Florida, with no mention of Climate Change, then their next story is about Security measures at the Super bowl. If only our leaders can whip the population into such a frenzy about energy policy rather than terrorism... We might get something done. Fossil Fuels are running out. Shall we fight to the last man so that we can take someone else's? Scared? Read on....

You need ANOTHER Reason?

Held Hostage by Oil     Carbon Cutters cite several reasons why we all need to take action to restrict our use of Fossil Fuels. Most people believe that it is Climate Change that is the prime driver. This is a good reason but only one of them. We also discuss Peak Oil as a reason for transition away from finite resources. There is some controversy about both of these reasons. We think that not everyone will believe all the reasons all of the time. Everyone needs their own motivation. We don't really care what you believe in - whatever way you turn the conclusion is the same.

     So if you spurn the Scientific advice on Climate Change and believe OPEC or USGS numbers future Oil Production you are sitting pretty. Nothing can hurt you. Apart from security, terrorism and war. These effect us in the following ways:

 

  • Security - as we run low on our own local fossil fuel supplies we have to import more and more oil & gas from further and further away. We are hostage to every country through which it travels and we are vulnerable to breaks in supply.

  • Terrorism - war by the weak against the powerful (as defined by the powerful). Powerful nations support authoritarian and undemocratic regimes in oil producing countries in order to guarantee oil supplies. This breeds resentment amongst the population as they believe their natural wealth is being drained by foreigners. This wealth is not benefiting them. They mount 'terror' attacks against the cause of their grievances.

  • War - terrorism by the powerful... When Government fights Government for access to, or ownership and control of, Fossil Fuels.

 

     These are all quite natural truisms that we can read about in the papers and see on the TV News every day. It doesn't matter which side of the political spectrum you come from. Powerful forces have been lining up to take control of energy supplies since well before World War Two. This has only lead to suffering.

Oil and Poverty

Drowning in Oil, Dying of Poverty     Oil makes you poor - fact. and you can't eat it either. This has been observed and written about since the mid 1990's. Our popular image of oil discovery, from experiences in the West and Middle-East, is that it is some great endowment from God that makes everyone rich beyond belief. Then everyone lives happily ever after. This is fantasy and is not borne out by reality in most places in the World. Entirely the opposite. Economists Jeffrey Sachs and Andrew Warner found a negative correlation between a Country's wealth and its oil exports. Most Oil Exporting Countries suffer from high rates of poverty, malnutrition, child illiteracy, corruption, authoritarianism, civil war and indebtedness. This is systemic. The reasons are known. In order for a third world country to exploit its mineral wealth it has to call in foreign oil companies and foreign capital to pay for it. The precondition of all such arrangements is that most of the profits will be sucked out of the country.

     Even worse the Western Companies and Governments will encourage the kind of regimes that will prevent the Nationalisation of 'their' assets in the interest of the impoverished people in those countries. It is in their interest to ensure that none of the money leaks out of the pockets of a rich and corrupt minority who maintain an iron grip on the population. Likewise it is in the interest of rich Northern investors to prevent any inward investment in infrastructure, ie, schools and hospitals but, rather, to develop a complete dependency upon the rich Northern countries for other luxuries, such as weapons. The idea is to recycle the profits OUT of the poor country. A noteworthy exception is Venezuela and the Government of Hugo Chavez who is using the petrodollars in the interest of those who elected him. Obviously he is very unpopular - but only in the rich Northern countries.

Security & Climate Change

We Trade Blood for Oil     If you believe in man-made Climate Change (and most of us do) then you will be concerned with the secondary effects of Global Warming on Security. Experts in Global affairs now point out that the mass migration of Climate Refugees could become a significant risk to world order. A flash point could be nuclear-armed Pakistan and how it would react to a million refugees from India if the Glacier ice Melts fail to form the Indus river. What about flooding in Bangladesh? Sooner or later somebody somewhere may choose War - not for Oil - but just so that their population will have somewhere to run to.

     Resources of every kind could become very valuable commodities in a World where the available agricultural land is diminishing. The War in Darfur is already claimed to be as a direct result of the drying up of inland lakes. Suddenly everyone's security is locked into everyone else's. And everyone else is running away from the results of Climate Change.

     To learn more visit this excellent web site:

 

 

I'm not taking it any more!

Low Carbon Man     Post-Carbon Man is on the warpath again. You'll find him everywhere. Don't get him started on why leaders can't lead! He has had enough and he isn't taking it any more.

     Learn what he has to say by clicking right here Make sure you have enabled popups!

 

Read this Book

Lutz Kleveman "The New Great Game"     ISBN 1-84354-121-1. Published by Atlantic Books in 2003. Subtitled "Blood and Oil in Central Asia". Reveals the politics and military engagement in the Caspian Sea area and how the post-9/11 world has been opened up by so called 'national security' issues. Politicians in both the west and north (Russia) are fighting over the oil resources and clashing with the iLutz Kleveman "The New Great Game"nherent Islam in the area. Politicians struggle to control Central Asia and nobody asks whether it is ethical, right or wrong. Such morality is thrown out of the window in an orgy of corruption, bribery and under-hand dealings. All the Great Game players are joined for battle - the USA, Russia, China, Pakistan and Iran. Out goes the rule book as each power-bloc seeks the ultimate prize - power, money and oil in Central Asia. Complete review here.

Diverting Resources

The World in a hole     The saddest part of our "Blood for Oil" culture in the West is that it leads to incredibly high opportunity costs. The term "opportunity cost" comes from economics and explains the cost of something by what you could have been doing instead. It is, quite literally, a waste of time and energy! It is not an investment in the future, it only forces us to face the difficult decisions sooner. In the meantime we have increased someone else's suffering.

     The figures for oil wars are quite astounding. A US web site published a calculation of how many wind turbines could have been erected in the continental USA if all the money spent on the War in Iraq had been diverted to renewables. So much additional power would have been generated that it would have supplanted any need for such foreign adventures. It appears almost self-defeating to spend money on military power when spending it on something else would significantly ease the problem.

     Al Gore cited another example in his "Inconvenient Truth" when he spoke of the US Automobile Fuel Efficiency Standards. He too pointed out that if the US had simply kept up with the rest of the World on Automobile Fuel Efficiency Standards then would be no dependency upon foreign oil. They would have all the security they needed simply by changing the law.

     Auto-efficiency is not the only example. One US Politician was famously quoted that energy efficiency measures might be a sign of personal virtue but they were "not a basis for a National Energy policy". Many have pointed out that there would be no National Energy Danger!problem if the Country had focused on efficiency measures instead of expanding supply.

     Thankfully European Nations have acted with slightly greater wisdom. The message is simple. Wars for Oil are a waste of money. Our problems can be solved peacefully.

     To learn more visit this excellent web site:

 

 

Millablog

Milla and her Books     Last night Mummy and Daddy watched a documentary about a nice warm country called Cuba. They are an island which has been prevented from trading for reasons I don't understand yet. They have no oil and can only import a small amount because they are poor. Yet they have the same life expectancy and education as rich countries. They use organic permaculture to grow their food. They ride a lot of bicycles and wait for buses. Strange.

War on Terror? Get real!

There is no War on Terror     There is no War on Terror. Sir David King, the UK Government's Chief Scientific Adviser, said once that Global Warming is a far greater threat than any Weapon of Mass Destruction. It is also said that to reduce terrorism "we should stop participating in it". The powerful nations have dominated the people of weaker nations throughout history but it is only recently that the weak & powerless have yielded significant weapons against the powerful. Practically all international Terrorism directed against developed countries is, in some way, blowback for earlier mistakes or actions, be they colonial, imperial, military or economic. This blowback is often a response to perceived injustices resulting from the powerful securing supplies of Oil. For the powerful to respond with arms against the weak will only to escalate the problem and increase the insecurity of the populations of the 'powerful' nations. Violence will lead to violence.

     The simple truth is that citizens of developed countries are far more likely to be hit by lightening that ever be the victim of a terrorist attack. Our fear of terrorism is vastly exaggerated. In comparison to the threat posed by Peak Oil or Global Climate Change, terrorism doesn't even rank. Terrorism kills a few thousand people every year. Most of these unfortunate victims are civilians within the developing-world. Victims of low-intensity conflict. The numbers are insignificant in comparison to the numbers killed in outright wars for oil or by 'natural' disasters. Floods, famine, desertification, severe weather, crop failure, you name it, will kill hundreds of thousands. IT IS ALREADY DOING SO.

     So, please, let us all get our priorities right. If you can't break your addiction to fossil fuels then terrorism will be the least of your problems. There is no War on Terror. Only War for Oil.

References:
  • Oil Change International 2007 as quoted in Ethical Consumer Magazine March/April 2007
 
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